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Society · Guess the stat

How well do you know polling?

Guess the real numbers behind surveys and public-opinion polling, see how everyone else guessed, and get the source.

Guess the statOne tap · see how everyone guessed

For a poll of about 1,000 people, what's the typical margin of error?

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Polling by the numbers

Real figures with their sources. All Polling facts →

6%

By 2018, about what share of people contacted for a typical Pew Research phone survey actually responded?

That capped a long decline -- response rates had held around 9% for several years before dropping further.

Source: Pew Research Center (2018) pewresearch.org

from about 9% to 6%

From roughly 9% in earlier years to 6% by 2018, how much did Pew's phone survey response rate fall?

Despite the decline, Pew's own research found response rates weren't a reliable predictor of a poll's accuracy.

Source: Pew Research Center (2018) pewresearch.org

2005

In what year did Gallup launch its World Poll, which now surveys nearly every country on Earth?

The World Poll has grown to cover more than 160 countries, representing 99% of the world's adult population.

Source: Gallup (2005) gallup.com

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How do you usually respond when a survey calls or emails you?

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Each question asks you to guess a real number about surveys, polling and public-opinion research. After you answer you see how everyone else guessed, then the real figure and where it comes from.

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Four stats and one opinion poll. A correct guess earns 100 points plus up to 50 for speed, with a combo bonus for answers in a row. The range next to the right answer earns 40. Opinion polls earn 25 for having your say, and nailing every stat adds 150.

Where do the numbers come from?

Every stat links to its source, such as government statistics agencies, research organizations and industry groups. Figures are checked against the source before they go live.

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